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He can gain some points with the Sunni Arabs by restraining Iran.<br /><br />But if he's going to play ugly politics, he's wasting his time. He will burn his fingers like everyone else.Happy Arabhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13123831547841466605noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968421.post-67581307108559094712006-12-20T18:50:00.000-05:002006-12-20T18:50:00.000-05:00The russians are interested in protecting someone ...The russians are interested in protecting someone like Assad because they fear international precedents. They are themselves involved in international political crimes against Ukrain's president and recently against the ex-spy in London. The russians feel that the Syrian intelligence are much like them since they were raised in the same Stalinist school of crime.debatehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05631743586882737179noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968421.post-1166637161739003122006-12-20T12:52:00.000-05:002006-12-20T12:52:00.000-05:00This is a fascinating play by Russia, and you've h...This is a fascinating play by Russia, and you've highlighted it well.Bravo 2-1https://www.blogger.com/profile/05219307722101813302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968421.post-1166597926490648262006-12-20T01:58:00.000-05:002006-12-20T01:58:00.000-05:00Russia is a question mark when it comes to ME peac...Russia is a question mark when it comes to ME peace. On one hand, Russia wants to dominate world energy markets and strategic alliance with Iran for example is a very important part in this. On the other hand, unlike the Iranian-Syrian axis, Russia has nothing to gain from instability in the Middle-East, especially if it wishes to position itself as mediator in the peace process.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968421.post-1166579472137673122006-12-19T20:51:00.000-05:002006-12-19T20:51:00.000-05:00hmmm, I agree with bad vilbel on the russians' int...hmmm, <BR/><BR/>I agree with bad vilbel on the russians' intentions. You have to keep in mind that they are trying to carve up a niche for themselves in world politics - claim their soviet inheritence so to speak. To do that they naturally have to try and block the US wherever possible, which leads them to assisting regimes like the ones in Syria, Iran, North Korea... <BR/>However, motives aside, we cannot dismiss the russian heightened interest in the middle east off-handedly. I think that their explicit meddling is a very disturbing sign. Previously, the movers and shakers vis-a-vis the Hariri investigation and the situation in Lebanon have tended to be the west on one side and Syria/Iran on the other. The fact that the russians feel the need to interfere personally does not bode well for March 14 in my opinion... At best they are not going to be unequivocal in their support and at worst they will be blatently on the side of the Syrian regime. Not good.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968421.post-1166572838465751402006-12-19T19:00:00.000-05:002006-12-19T19:00:00.000-05:00This is indeed an interesting angle. But it's not ...This is indeed an interesting angle. But it's not really new. Russia has long been trying to play both sides (ever since the demise of the USSR). They claim to be good allies to the US, but they continue working towards expanding (or re-expanding, in this case) their old sphere of influence, by undermining the US wherever they can.<BR/>- Iraq (Russia is known to have supplied Saddam with all sorts of goodies in defiance of the old embargo rules).<BR/>- Iran (Russia is supplying much of what is turning out to be Iran's nuclear works).<BR/>- Syria/Palestinians (Russia's always had Assad's ear, even when he's seemed to be jumping in bed with Tehran).<BR/>- North Korea (again, Russia's tried for several years, along with China, to ensure the US did not get its full way with N Korea).<BR/><BR/>It could very well be that Putin is calling Assad to Moscow to give him instructions for the next phase of this game plan, vis a via Lebanon, Palestine and Iran.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com