No political settlement yet, but a new development: the Opposition has called for another demonstration in Riad Solh Square starting Sunday with the aim of toppling the government.
Why do that, when there is a genuine search among all parties to reach a compromise and a solution to this political deadlock?
At any rate, the government has three demands it will not compromise: 1) a national unity government, yes, but not that which gives the opposition 1/3+ of the Cabinet seats, 2) early Presidential elections, and 3) the international tribunal; there is a verbal agreement to the tribunal but the government has not seen this agreement operationalized in Cabinet meetings.
In my assessment, the Higher Maronite Council's statement yesterday, seems to provide a roadmap out of the impasse right now.
Aoun has sent a delegate to Bkirki in support of this roadmap. But if this is the case, then why is Aoun still calling on his supporters to head en masse to Beirut for a renewed mass rally on Sunday? Is it just a verbal agreement?
"Nobody knows how many rebellions, besides political rebellions, ferment in the masses of life which people earth."
Thursday, December 07, 2006
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Why? Because last week Nasrallah declared an "open-ended" rally and it failed! Apparently too many anti-government demonstrators lost interest. To keep its star from dimming rapidly the "Opposition" must act quickly to regain momentum.
The risk, of course, is that a "renewed" rally of smaller numbers than before will simply be a demonstration of weakness, not strength, and thus will accelerate the political decline of the anti-Government forces.
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