the death of the military elite in the middle east is comming very soon. Mehlis' report may very well be one of the last nails in that coffin. The first domino to fall was Jamal Abdel Nasser. Eventhough he died of natural causes, he died a defeated man. Communist Yemmen fell soon after, then Saddam, and now, maybe the Ba'ath in Syria. Who was this epic battle waged against? The business/oil elite of the Gulf, who have no armies, yet who do not suffer from a lack of dollars.
I am of mixed feelings about this development. Jamal Abdel Nasser, in his own way, represented a modern option for the Middle East. He ruled Egypt in a time when you could watch Um Kulthum sing to a mixed crowd of men and women (the overwhelming majority of whom were not wearing hijabs). Of course, the Assads, and Saddam also raised the banner of modernity in their own respective countries (at least up to a certain point in time).
The Gulfies, on the other hand, represented traditionalism, tribalism, fundamentalism and everything I stand against! But now they won. They want to get rid of Bashar because they are sick of the old military regimes, and they want to show everyone in the region who's the boss. They also want to get rid of him because they need as much help as possible in their never ending conflict against the Iranians.
Although divided, I sense that the one threat that brings all the gulfies together, is that behemoth called Iran. I've said this before and I'll say it again: I truly believe that they percieve "the persians" to be much more of a threat than the Israelis. And now that Iraq (once a buffer against Iran) is up for grabs, they're probably gonna wanna get Syria on their camp as soon as possible.
Once bashar is out of the way, the Gufies are gonna wanna do two things:
1. gradually suffocate hizballah
2. come to a quick and amicable agreement with Israel
I am definitely seeing an implicit Metternicht-style alliance between the Israelis and Gulfies against Iran. Heck... why not? Haven't the Turks done it? Are they not Muslims? Shit...
We are in for one heck of a ride in the Middle East! And if the Iranians acheive their nuclear ambitions, I wonder what the hell will happen then! All I know for sure is that Bashar is fighting for his life, and that the odds are stacked against him.