The more I think about it, the more I feel like I want to share it; it's like a lightbulb that has lit inside my head!
In my previous post The Big Picture That I Missed!, we ended up delving more in the comments section on the role of the U.S. in spreading democracy in the region and its prospects. Raja wrote that the current U.S. administration is seriously reconsidering "constructive instability" as a viable policy option in the Middle East - seeing what has become of Iraq (especially after the outcome of the much-awaited-for Iraqi elections failed which led Iraq back into a blood bath). I also wrote that of how much the U.S. is advocating for democracy in the Middle East, in my assessment it is not ready yet to face the big "threat" which is namely Islamic fundamentalist movemements that are also calling for democracy and fair representation in their political systems, such as in Syria and Egypt.
Given the above-mentioned premise, I can deduce that Cardinal Sfeir's call to postpone the confrontation with Baabda until after the elections to confront the President through constitutional means and through the Parliament as opposed to people power on the streets, is perhaps an American demand as well. The U.S., yes, is playing a prominent role in the region, no one can deny that. It would cringe at this moment to see the fruits of a peaceful uprising turning into a confrontation which might turn ugly; the fear that Lebanon would also become another battle scene, especially putting in mind the presence of Hizbullah and Syria's and Iran's inevitable involvement if any instability occurs in the country.
Correct me if I'm wrong...simply speculating.
As for the Damascus and Cairo Springs, I'm afraid that all of those freedom and democracy lovers have to rely on themselves to reach their intended goals, because the U.S. might just be unwilling to foster any more uprisings in the region, as their military presence in Iraq is faltering in the face of sectarian strife and religious fundamentalism (And if Lebanon's uprising was peaceful because of already existing freedoms albeit limited, in other regimes, any instability might just wreak havoc). Again, and I repeat what I wrote under the previous post's comments: Egypt is an amazing example of how the U.S. is willing to accept "cosmetic" changes made to the Egyptian electoral law, despite all of us knowing that that's not the change that many aspire for in the country. When Laura Bush visited Egypt, she angered many who questioned what sort of democracy the Americans are calling for as she extolled the reforms that Mubarak has put forth...it was funny that many Egyptians wanted more, so much more...
We don't want corrupt leaders, many corrupt leaders' regimes, including Saddam's and Saudi Arabia's, were and still are upheld for so long by the Americans for strategic interests. And now many feel and fear that if we rely too much on the US for "salvation" we'll get nowhere. I don't believe that the US administration is entertaining at all "disturbing" any more regimes or unleashing any revolutions. It's a shame because in the first place, if Bush did not start a war in Iraq and resorted to the UN (look at Lebanon, diplomacy works when there is consensus), it would have been able to help other countries open up peacefully, instead of toying around with the option of backing out from the whole project.
This is why it is imperative to stress continued dialogue in Lebanon to come up with solutions to issues that are beyond what Lebanon can take. The following quote is taken out from my first entry that I published on this blog on the 21st of February:
"I would like to see in the very near future a document drafted by the Opposition that will answer the many lingering questions: How are we going to resolve the question of the Sheba’a Farms? How will Hizbullah be disarmed and who will do so? What about the Palestinian refugee question?....Big, divisive issues indeed to which we must find honest and real answers. I believe the true challenge is not Syria’s withdrawal, but what will ensue after their withdrawal when we have to all sit together on one table to resolve those major, contentious issues on our own."
This quote still holds true....
"Nobody knows how many rebellions, besides political rebellions, ferment in the masses of life which people earth."