Wednesday, March 02, 2005

Concerning theories that claim Israel killed Hariri to destroy Syria and assert its hegemony on the region

These grand conspiracy theories sound great on paper. But then, when I look at what happened on the ground, I get a reality-check. How the hell are Mossad agents supposed to kill Hariri in the middle of $^#^&$ downtown Beirut without anyone knowing??? Taking into consideration the size and complexity of the operation - for God's sake it wasn't a sniper shooting - the likelihood that someone carried it out without getting the attention of the security services is virtually null.

Seriously, how the hell are you supposed to get 500-1000 kgs of TNT without anyone knowing? Did Israeli commandos bring it with them by boat? If so, then how big would the boat have been? Assuming they somewhow managed to do so, then how could they plant it underground without anyone noticing?

As for this whole hegemony thing... it is also kind of a shaky argument. Egypt and Saudi Arabia are definitely not militarily up to par with Israel, but they do have their weight, and can influence events in the region. Even Jordan was able to get weapons from the United States that Israel thought were too threatening, and tried really hard to prevent from happening. So these theorists do two things: they play on an inert fear of Israel, and completely ignore facts on the ground to make what would seem to be sound arguments.

In conclusion, I'll say the following:

1. The Syrians have no problem killing Lebanese (or anybody) who they perceive as a threat to their grip on power.

2. There is a huge difference between American hegemony (a reality that we are dealing with today) and Israeli hegemony (nonsense, considering Egypt, Saudi Arabia and even Turkey - all of which are allies of the USA).

3. Read the following article from Dier Speigel:

http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,343242,00.html

10 comments:

Michel said...

Raja,

although i agree with your assessment that Israel was not behind the attacks, i don't agree with how you got there.

as you recall Hobeika got blown up by a massive car bomb which was likely carried out by the Israelis. If memory serves, a prominent Palestinian was killed in Damascus a couple months ago by the Israelis as well. So, Israel does have the capability to hit peeps that it wants to hit.

michel

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Mustapha said...

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Chaya said...

It is a typical ploy to blame Israel for problems in the Arab/Muslim (not always the same) world. Did you all notice how Assad managed to turn his speech this evening into a diatribe against Israel? Not wanting to appear to kowtow to U.S. demands, he said he would gradually reduce the number of Syrian troops in Lebanon so that by May they would all be out. On CNN they mentioned about the "power vacuum" that would be created once Syrian troops are out. Any validity to this? And what happened today when Lebanese troops suddenly appeared in front of Syrian intelligence headquarters for a period of time?

Chaya said...

I would also like to add that I got goose bumps watching the thousands of people who have been taking to the streets every day since the murder. "Power to the people!" I have put a picture of it on my bulletin board at my school.

Raja said...

Michel,

Hobeika's bomb was placed in some side-street that barely anyone passed through. Not to underate the destructive capabilities of the Israeli security services, but Hobeika's operation was miniscule in comparison to the operation that killed Hariri.

Anyways, now some reports are saying that it might actually have been a car-bomb. It's all so confusing, so I'm not gonna discuss this issue any more until "the truth" comes out.

Raja said...

This talk about vacuum is nonesense. Just like the talk of Hizballah turning its guns on Lebanese, and the talk about Palestinians pouring out of their camps, and the talk about Lebanese 'dividing' and killing each other.

Anonymous said...

Lebanon was created under the pre-text of always serving as a permanent base in the middle east for the french via its puppet maronite catholic population. Vive Le Bleue!!

SYRIANO